High consumer debt – What it means to you

There has been a lot of news from the daily newspapers and the Canadian government over the past year about excessive debt levels for consumers.  For example take a look at these statements from Statistics Canada from mid September:

Canadian household debt continued to rise in the second quarter as individuals took out more mortgages at historically low rates and obtained consumer loans, Statistics Canada said on Tuesday.

Policy makers have warned Canadians against taking on too much debt, especially as interest rates can only go up over time and some may find themselves unable to afford their debt payments.

The Bank of Canada warned earlier this year that the number of Canadians who were vulnerable to an adverse economic shock had risen to its highest level in nine years.

Despite an increase in home prices, household net worth declined 0.3% in the second quarter, Statscan said, because of a drop in prices of shares held by households, including pension assets.

Per capita household net worth fell for the first time in a year to $184,300 from $185,500 in the first quarter.

These statements show that the Canadian government is concerned about how much debt the average consumer is taking on including their mortgage.  What does this warning from the government mean to you as a new buyer or if you are trying to refinance your mortgage?  What does this warning mean to you if you are not refinancing or buying a new property?  What exactly should you be doing about high consumer debt levels on a personal basis?

The average consumer carries many credit cards with various rates.  Which cards should you focus on paying out first – The card with the highest balance, or the card with the highest interest rate?  I did a study based on some commonly available credit card rates and came to some interesting conclusions!

Take the chart example below:

 Card Type Air miles bank credit card Unsecured line of credit
Rate 19.99% 6.5%
Balance on Card $21000 $20000
Minimum Payment $443 $593
Interest portion of the minimum payment $319.49 $106.47

You can see that on the high rate credit card, most of the minimum payment goes toward paying interest and very little towards paying principal.  Conversely, if you compare the lower rate card, your minimum payment pays less interest and more principal.  You can see from the chart above that the high rate card is going to be very difficult to pay off without increasing minimum payment.  The unsecured credit line however, is going to be paid off much faster without increasing the minimum payment.  Which card should receive more than the minimum payment – the higher rate card.

In fact, as you pay down the high rate card the minimum monthly payment will drop.  Do not be fooled!!  Keep paying as much as you can because remember – if you start paying the minimum payment on your higher rate interest cards, the outstanding principal never goes away.

Should you transfer high interest rate card balances to lower rate cards?  I get this question from many clients and I would have to say – maybe.  I might transfer balances if I had a lot of room on lower rate cards but if you remember from several issues back – we discussed what happens to your credit report when several of your credit cards are maxed out and some are at zero balances.  Your credit bureau likes to see an even balance (percentage wise based on available credit) across all consumer credit products.  Therefore, it does stand to reason that you should not really be moving around credit card balances and maxing out low rate cards.

I would probably leave the balances as they are unless I could transfer a full amount of 1 high rate credit rate to a low rate card and not max out the low rate card.

Here is another real world example on how expensive it can be to carry high rate credit cards.

Card Type Air miles bank credit card Secured line of credit
Rate 19.99% 4.00%
Balance on Card $21000 $94722
Minimum Payment $443 $311.27
Amount of payment that goes toward interest $319.49 $0

This example shows that the low rate card could service almost 5 times what the high rate card could service – both cards were paying approximately the same amount of interest.  Even though no payments were made towards principal on the low rate card, it would still be more cost effective to make larger payments towards the smaller debt of $21000.  Once the small debt was cleared, the same amount of cash flow could be concentrated on the larger debt.

As a parting note, take care when paying your bills to ensure that the money you are paying to credit cards makes sense.  Use store credit cards and other high rate cards sparingly.

 

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Average home price rises 6.5% to $352,600

Higher sales in a number of major markets, most notably Toronto, helped push the average price of a Canadian home up 6.5 per cent in September compared with a year earlier.

The Canadian Real Estate Association said Monday the average price for a Canadian home sold in September was $352,600. That’s a bit below the all-time high seen earlier this year.

The 6.5 per cent annual gain is the lowest seen since January.

The number of homes sold in September was also 11 per cent higher than a year ago.

via Average home price rises 6.5% to $352,600 – Business – CBC News.

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Boomers plan to retire mortgage-free but many are cutting it close

Nearly four-in-ten (39%) boomers who plan to retire in the next three years still have a mortgage on their home, yet two-thirds of boomers expect to retire mortgage-free (65%). According to the TD Canada Trust Boomer Buyers Report, many boomers plan to move as part of their retirement strategy, with nearly one-third downsizing – but adult children who are living at home are keeping some parents from making a move.

Of those who plan to downsize, 17% of boomer parents are delaying moving in order to accommodate their adult children who are living at home. Twelve percent who will stay in their current home and not downsize, say it’s because they may have adult children living with them after they retire.

via TD CANADA TRUST | Boomers plan to retire mortgage-free but many are cutting it close.

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Conditions Improve for Toronto Home Buyers

Since June of this year Toronto’s real estate market slowly started to move away from being a strong sellers market to one that is becoming a bit more balanced. But only recently have I started to see the effects of this shift more consistently across the market.

The most obvious sign of this change is that fewer houses are getting multiple offers. When a house is listed for sale in Toronto the listing agent will typically set an offer date roughly one week after the property has been listed for sale. The goal of setting an offer date of course is to try to generate multiple offers for your client.

In many cases agents will underprice their client’s house – list a house that is really worth around $530K for $499K – as a “strategy” to generate a bidding war. The idea is that you’ll get more buyers competing for the hosue because many will see it as a bargain relative to other properly priced homes in the neighbourhood. While this approach might work well when we’re in a strong sellers market, the strategy can backfire as the market cools down.

via Toronto Real Estate and Neighbourhoods Blog | Move Smartly: Conditions Improve for Toronto Home Buyers.

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Toronto’s iconic Flatiron is up for for sale

 

The triangular five-storey red-brick building, with a trompe l’oeil mural on the side, went on the market Tuesday, with formal bids due on Oct. 27 to Brookfield Financial Real Estate Group, which is overseeing the sale.

“It’s the ideal time,” said Eve Lewis, president and CEO of Woodcliffe Landmark Properties, noting that for the first time in almost a century, no ongoing leases mean a single owner or tenant could occupy the entire office space, close to 20,000 square feet.

via Toronto’s iconic Flatiron is up for for sale – thestar.com.

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Royal Bank, CIBC raise mortgage rates after bond rates increase

 

Mortgage rates are on the rise in Canada after a strong U.S. jobs growth report bumped up the cost of borrowing in the bond market.

Royal Bank says it is raising rates on some variable rates as well as five-year fixed mortgages by a tenth of a point.

via Royal Bank, CIBC raise mortgage rates after bond rates increase | CanadianBusiness.com.

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September strong for sales in Toronto, with listings expected to pick up

 

Residential sales activity and home prices in Toronto continued to rise in September, keeping on pace for the second-best sales year, according to the Toronto Real Estate Board.

There were 25% more sales last month compared to a year earlier, reaching 7,658 transactions this September. The average price for all residential properties was $465,369, up 9.3%. But the board’s senior manager or market analysis, Jason Mercer, said Toronto’s market remains relatively affordable, despite the price gains this year.

via September strong for sales in Toronto, with listings expected to pick up.

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Mortgage Lenders Shifting Consumers from Variable to Fixed Mortgage Rates

A great shift is happening in the mortgage market as lenders are enticing Canadian consumers to deeply discounted fixed mortgage rates and away from variable mortgages. Low bond yields continue to provide lenders with room to manoeuvre and offer better pricing on fixed products.

via Mortgage Lenders Shifting Consumers from Variable to Fixed Mortgage Rates – MarketWatch.

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Home prices can’t keep increasing, despite low interest rate environment

 

Toronto Real EstateCanadian home prices spiked unexpectedly by as much as 7.8 per cent in the most recent quarter, but such dramatic increases aren’t likely to last, according to a housing report released Wednesday.

The Royal LePage House Price Survey warned that the average price for a Canadian house in the third quarter was driven higher by the effect of expensive cities like Vancouver and Toronto, overshadowing the fact that price increases slowed and values even fell in some areas.

via Home prices can’t keep increasing, despite low interest rate environment | CanadianBusiness.com.

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Canadian home prices resilient in third quarter

In its House Price Survey and Market Survey Forecast, Royal LePage says that Canada’s residential real estate market benefited from very low interest rates and a relatively stable domestic economy.

via Canadian home prices resilient in third quarter – The Globe and Mail.

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